Measuring social unrest using media reports
نویسندگان
چکیده
We present a new index of social unrest based on counts relevant media reports, covering 130 countries monthly starting in 1986. Spikes the identify major events, which match event timelines from external sources for four regional waves unrest. assess our against others and show it performs as well next best alternative but with superior coverage. Social is associated 3 percentage point increase frequency domestically 1 percent neighbors six months. Despite this, not better predictor future than country average rate. investigate economic performance around showing that (1) macroeconomic robustly correlated subsequent (2) after positive output surprises are smaller negative ones unchanged. • Defines reports since 1985 Index spikes align consensus descriptions case studies. The measure at least alternatives spatially temporally correlated. Economic deteriorates events poor does well-predict
منابع مشابه
Forecasting Social Unrest Using Activity Cascades
Social unrest is endemic in many societies, and recent news has drawn attention to happenings in Latin America, the Middle East, and Eastern Europe. Civilian populations mobilize, sometimes spontaneously and sometimes in an organized manner, to raise awareness of key issues or to demand changes in governing or other organizational structures. It is of key interest to social scientists and polic...
متن کاملSocial Media Censorship in Times of Political Unrest: A Social Simulation Experiment with the UK Riots
Following the 2011 wave of political unrest, extending from the Arab Spring to the UK riots, the formation of a large consensus around Internet censorship is underway. The present paper adopts a social simulation approach to show that the decision to “regulate”, filter or censor social media in situations of unrest changes the pattern of civil protest and ultimately results in higher levels of ...
متن کاملTowards Measuring Fine-Grained Diversity Using Social Media Photographs
Diversity is an important socio-economic construct that influences multiple aspects of human lives from the prosperity of a city to corporate earnings and from criminal justice to health and social engagement. Large, heavily populated urban areas can be highly diverse at the city or even neighborhood level, but we know very little about how much people from diverse demographics (such as age and...
متن کاملMeasuring User Credibility in Social Media
People increasingly use social media to get first-hand news and information. During disasters such as Hurricane Sandy and the tsunami in Japan people used social media to report injuries as well as send out their requests. During social movements such as Occupy Wall Street (OWS) and the Arab Spring, people extensively used social media to organize their events and spread the news. As more peopl...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Development Economics
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['1872-6089', '0304-3878']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2022.102924